Archives for July 2012

Carnival of Wealth, Surface of the Sun Edition

How hot is it this summer? This is a picture of Juneau.

Welcome back to the Carnival of Wealth, the only personal finance blog carnival worth a damn. Submissions from around the world, most good, some dreadful, none boring. We do it every Monday. Let’s get started:

Last week, W from Off Road Finance gave us the 1st post in a series on the alternative to investing. He’s not kidding. He maintains that there’s a better way to build wealth than the conventional method of doing what everyone else does, and through 2 installments of this series, his logic holds up. Read this one slowly – lots to digest.

Anyone who admits to drawing inspiration from Control Your Cash is going to figure prominently in any Carnival of Wealth. Dave at 6400 Personal Finance reached the same conclusion we did about the absurdity of buying gas anywhere other than where it’s most convenient to.

Dividend Growth Investor gives us 5 stocks that make it a point of increasing dividends, something Facebook and Google have yet to do.

So you’re saying that committing to life in the ultimate comfort zone isn’t as comfortable as you thought it might be? No way! Young & Thrifty gives us a first-person lament of her career path, that of teacher. She’s thinking entrepreneurship might be more professionally (and financially) satisfying. We don’t usually publish diary posts, readership-as-therapists posts, but this one’s somewhat different.

Aside:

Despite what anyone tells you, teaching is not a difficult nor a demanding job. In fact, it’s hard to imagine an easier occupation. We each spend our first 12 years in a classroom, right? How little ambition do you have to have to think, “Well, that’s done, plus I did another 4 years in a classroom for a total of 16. Now, with the world as my oyster, I think I’d like to…spend my life in a classroom.”

Most of us have coworkers. Vendors. Clients. Counterparts whom we interact with more or less as equals. But teachers have charges. Minors, who have to respect your seniority. Teaching is a facile way to find a position of authority for oneself without having to do anything. Even a teacher on her first day on the job has a few dozen underlings. There’s no other line of work you can say that about.

There’s more. A teacher’s life is filled with rehashed subject matter. Committing to education as a profession means abandoning discovery. And growth. A 2nd-grade teacher who spends her workday explaining the difference between “to” and “too” is not what you’d call intellectually stimulated.

That tears it. This is the most offensive thing you’ve ever written, and that’s saying something. If it weren’t for teachers, where would you be? 

Thanks for missing the point. If it weren’t for train engineers we’d all be stranded at home without any gas in our vehicles, but no one genuflects in front of those guys. Almost everyone contributes something tangible to the general well-being of society. Teachers are no better nor worse in that respect.

Summers off, little possibility of being fired, and the least challenging of atmospheres. What’s not to love about that? Oh yeah, the atrocious pay and the feeling of commiseration among your fellow teachers.

Still not done. It’s not a tough job. Army Ranger is a tough job. Do you know what the attrition rate for teachers is? Close to 0%. If you want to be a teacher, you can and will be one with a minimum of effort. No one drops out of an education program because the coursework is so demanding.

And can we stop referring to teachers as heroes? They aren’t, unless you mean the ones who attempt to teach math to girls.

Teacher Man at My University Money argues for passive investing. Find (and fund) your 401(k) (or in his case, RRSP), then sleep on it. Teacher Man thinks that if you don’t, you’re probably going to lose because you’re up against smart people and supercomputers on the other side of every trade.

Huh?

Investing isn’t a zero-sum game. Yes, you could argue that any individual trade is, in that the buyer wants the price to rise and the seller doesn’t, and thus cumulatively investing must indeed be a zero-sum game. But is it?

No. The seller doesn’t necessarily want the price to fall. The seller could have a million reasons for selling. Liquidity is often as important as wanting to get off the roller coaster.

Also, Teacher Man stumped us with this discovery:

during a recent 20 year stretch the S&P 500 returned an average of 9.1%…yet the average investor only realized gains of 3.1%!

On first glance his claim might sound impossible, but it isn’t necessarily. For one thing, the S&P 500 contains different components than it did 20 years earlier. But how did he arrive at that 3.1% figure? Does he really have data on every single person who invested in S&P stocks since 1992? Does he mean median, rather than average? Whatever the answers, the allegation is an effective excuse for just buying mutual funds. (Which are managed by professionals who use computers. How that’s an advantage for Teacher Man’s investments, we’re not sure.)

(UPDATE: Teacher Man informs us that he meant 3.9%. We’re still scratching our heads, just not as hard.)

Don’t read anything into how this paean to passive investing was written by a teacher. Our favorite part of the piece was a comment (ignore the writer’s homonym confusion and pay attention to his point):

I don’t believe it’s about being “smarter” than the other guy. It’s about being willing to doing your homework and research the companies you are considering buying. Valuation is the key. There are many great companies that should not be bought because there valuation already reflects what everyone knows. But there are ALWAYS good companies that are out of favor and priced below there intrinsic value. You may have to look at 200+ companies instead of 10 to find them. You don’t have to accept “average” unless you are unwilling to put the time and effort into your investment portfolio.

Habeeb at the unconventionally hyphenated BestDividend-Paying-Mutual-Funds breaks down Wells Fargo’s Advantage Growth Fund. It’s up 10% per year over the last decade, and its biggest component by far (more than twice as much as any other) is Apple. Again, past performance is not a predictor of blah blah

Lance at Money Life & More learned how to divide by 30.

From PKamp3 at DQYDJ.net:

Once again I dropped the ball and neglected to give you folks a post on option contract divined predictions over the next few months (and years).

Yes, you’re a crushing disappointment. For shame.

Seriously, what he means is that he’s a little late with his self-imposed homework assignment: using put and call prices to predict the level of the S&P 500. PKamp3 speculates as to where the markets are heading, and what impact it’ll have on the presidential race.

John Kiernan at CardHub explains how getting your credit card numbers lifted is a lot easier than you think. Folks, change your passwords regularly and often. (This coming from someone who had his Yahoo! account hacked into twice. Fortunately there was nothing valuable in there, but it demonstrates the wisdom of using “123456” for a password.)

Free Money Finance has another book review, this one of Stephen L. Weiss’s The Big Win: Learning from the Legends to Become a More Successful InvestorFMF lists 7 traits of “the perfect investor”:

  • Strong emotions
  • A powerful ego
  • Concentration on the short term
  • Permissiveness
  • Not being hung up on research
  • Effortlessness – taking time to relax
  • Lethargy

Please, please be scratching your head right now. If you’re not, get out of the market immediately and give your money to the homeless. We lied: the above contains the opposites of what the perfect investor embodies. Read the link for the details.

Odysseas Papadimitriou (YES! Finally spelled his name without checking it) at Wallet Blog has a political rant this week. Not a sectarian one, but rather an argument for direct democracy. No, he’s not talking about getting rid of the electoral college, or turning the nation from a republic into something else. Rather, Odysseas is examining something we weren’t familiar with: Project Madison. It’s the brainchild of U.S. Representative Darrell Issa (R-CA), and it’s essentially crowdsourcing for legislation.

Read that again: a member of Congress had an original and workable idea that isn’t obscenely expensive.

Finally, for every 100 morons online who complain that Walmart hurts women and kills jobs, JP at Novel Investor reminds us that brand loyalty is hugely important. Coca-Cola and Apple can, and have, withstood the occasional hardship but bounced back largely due to extraordinary public awareness and devotion.

And we’re done. You know the schedule: continuity and reliability are important. New post every Wednesday and Friday. New Anti-Tip daily, new CoW next Monday. Check us out on Investopedia, Yahoo! Finance, and we should have a new post up on ProBlogger any minute now. (And this has nothing to do with personal finance, but we’re in Nevada Magazine this month, too.) See ya.

 

Guest Post: Area Woman Shares Her Action Plan

 

Pay no attention to the watermark centered on her neck

 

Today, we’ve decided to let Anne Smith write a guest post. Anne runs MyBoyfriendAndIHaveAdvancedDegreesAndFiveFigureDebt.com, a personal finance site that chronicles “one fashionista’s struggle to stay sane (and stay caffeinated) in a tough economy.” Also, the site’s logo uses $ in place of “S” and ¢ in place of “c” because its author is unbelievably clever. She adds that she’s trying to “make cents” of her life, which is a joke we didn’t get but are applying our collective brainpower to the deciphering of. Take it away, Anne:

Hi there!!!! I’m so grateful that the folks at Control Your Cash let me write a guest post for them! I’m an easily excitable woman – with the maturity of an adolescent girl, even though I’m in my 20s and have a job – so that explains the exclamation points! This week I’m going to talk about personal finance with you! So fun!

I should probably mention off the bat that I have $45,398.39 in student loans. I majored in philosophy and can’t find a job in my chosen field. It’s so unfair! I sent résumés out and everything! So I’m thinking of doing the only logical thing and going to grad school. That way I’ll have even more initials after my name, even more debt to my name, and even more indignation 2 years from now when I still can’t find a job but will be that much closer to death. Sure, I could get a job doing something blue-collar, and maybe even make decent money at it, but why would I do that when instead I can complain about how unfair life is and why society owes me a living? After all, the average college graduate earns a million dollars more in her life than someone who dropped out of high school. Never mind that most people finish high school, but if I compare myself to the people who have not even a modicum of education it’ll make me feel better about myself. And that’s what personal finance blogging is all about. Also, that bit about the million dollars is received wisdom. Right up there with “You lose 60% of your body heat through your head” and “You should drink 8 glasses of water a day”, not to mention “Doing the speed limit is more fuel-efficient than exceeding it.” I either heard these axioms in conversation with fellow idiots, or read about them in O, The Oprah Magazine. Either way, they’re undeniably true.

Oh yeah, my boyfriend (soon to be hubby LOL!) He’s already in grad school, working on his master’s in library science after earning an undergraduate degree in social work. His student loan balance is at $52,498.12 right now. Can you believe Congress wants to increase our rate? So unfair! Because if it were 3.4% we could have paid our balances off this week, never mind that I’m 5 years out of school and have so far barely paid a nickel. Anyhoo, back to my boyfriend. His fixed-gear bike got stolen, so I have to drive him to his soccer game in my 1999 Taurus. Which, by the way, I recently had to spend $1100 on new brake drums, rotors and calipers for. I could have gotten away with a $125 brake pad replacement when I first heard squeaking a few months ago, but…well, let’s just say I was working on getting it fixed and it just kind of crept up on me. LOL!

Did I mention that we’re getting married? I’m so excited! Josh and I spent the last 4 weekends visiting wedding planners and looking for the PERFECT locale for our wedding. We’re going to hold it at the same hotel ballroom where Elizabeth Taylor and one of her husbands, I think #4, got hitched. Isn’t that exciting? Of course, that’s in LA and we live in San Diego, so the whole wedding party (my family, Josh’s family, my bridesmaids, and his groomsmen) is going to have to stay at the hotel. My parents have offered to chip in $5000, which is nice of them but it’s really nothing when we estimate the cost is going to be upwards of $30,000. What a racket, right? Maybe I should have become a wedding planner LOL! It’s expensive, but it’s a once-in-a-lifetime magical moment and I want it to be perfect. I said “once-in-a-lifetime” because no one in the history of the world has ever gotten divorced, therefore I won’t. Also, I’m technically an adult so maybe I shouldn’t be relying on my parents for anything financial but what do you want from me, this is the 21st century and me and all my blogging friends are in a state of suspended adolescence.

Anyhow, gotta go. Because…we need to put a deposit down for our honeymoon! We’re going to Tahiti!!!! Sooooo excited! We had to take out a loan for the trip, but fortunately Josh’s dad co-signed for it otherwise we’d have to honeymoon in, like, Laguna Niguel or something. Um, I don’t think so. TTYL!

Today’s guest post was from Anne Smith. Check out her monthly debt updates and list of expensive places she can’t afford to visit yet wants to at MyBlogIsIndistinguishableFromAlmostEveryOtherPersonalFinanceBlog.com. You’ll also find commiserating comments from all her dopey friends, telling her how smart and brave she is for making one awful financial decision after another. No wait, we got the URL wrong. It’s actually MyBoyfriendAndIHaveAdvancedDegreesAndFiveFigureDebt.com. Sorry about that.

Another Way to Screw The Man And Feel Great Doing It

The Band Perry will be eligible for the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame in 2034. Click on LiveNation.com right now for tickets to their induction ceremony.

We’ve almost reached the point when there are people who didn’t know any other way, but a long time ago, there existed a music recording industry. A pretty lucrative industry, too. Famous musicians and aspiring ones would rent a studio, hire a producer, record singles and albums, and the major corporation that fronted the musicians the money to do so would then sell the finished products for a profit.

But that which can be digitized can be copied, infinitely. And in a world in which movies and books can be streamed into your home, the idea of driving to a record store and looking through the racks seems both antiquated and ludicrous. It became irrational for music fans to drop $12 for an album that a little ingenuity could put in their hands for nothing. The industry isn’t technically dead yet, but we’ve got the mortuary on speed dial. The number of recording artists has proliferated, while the number of profitable ones has winnowed down to just a few dozen.

Forced to improvise, the industry decided to pound its remaining profit centers. You can’t digitize and copy the attending of a performance, therefore if any money is to be made in the industry, it’s in concerts. (Yes, and merchandise, but that’s a topic for another post.)

So how to maximize concert profits? It sounds tempting, but the promoters and ticket companies couldn’t just raise prices arbitrarily. The laws of supply and demand still exist, and were tickets to cost too much, people will just find something else to do.

However, there is a creative way to get a little more blood out of each ticket buyer. Announce shows well in advance. Embedded in ticket buyers’ DNA remains the belief that every concert runs the risk of selling out. Therefore, buy your tickets as early as possible. Thus letting LiveNation enjoy your money all the longer. This has become commonplace. Depending on the size of the act, it’s normal to see tickets being sold 6, even 8 months early. Rush are playing Las Vegas this November. Tickets went on sale in March. For a naïve fan, that means an even longer window in which to risk seeing the show sell out. Got to buy those tickets now, and the earlier “now” is the better.

Understand that concerts, at least beyond the walk-up level, were never about you exchanging your money for a couple hours of entertainment. They were about you exchanging your money plus a few weeks’ worth of investment potential for said entertainment. Of course there wasn’t a whole lot you were going to do with that $35 besides spend it on a Def Leppard ticket anyway, so from your perspective, the investment potential was negligible.

But today, you’re exchanging your money plus months’ worth of investment potential. A minor difference as far as the individual ticket buyer is concerned, but an enormous one from the standpoint of the company that sells the tickets myriads at a time. You still get the concert, but they get your money and enough interest to make it worth Live Nation’s while to inconvenience you by forcing you to buy the tickets earlier than you otherwise would.

You could argue that this is blatant, but it’s mild compared to some of the other gouging tactics the ticket-selling oligopoly has used and continues to use. “Service fees”? “Handling charges” for a set of electrons that you can print at home? And they keep the charges if the show gets cancelled? It’s laughable, but that doesn’t mean you have to be a victim of forced forgone interest.

Because you know what other, tangential part of the music industry has been forever transformed by technology? The resale market. There’s no such thing as a sold-out house (Harvey Mackay, c. 1990). The longer you wait to buy tickets, the more resellers there are, competing for your business.

Case in point, in August the Control Your Cash principals are going to see Iron Maiden. Who aren’t coming within 450 miles of Control Your Cash World Headquarters, which means a road trip. The (seemingly overpriced) tickets went on sale early in the spring, and on the day sales opened, no one at CYC HQ bought. Why? Because prices will lower. The venue holds about 20,000 people. In the few days before the show, someone, somewhere, won’t be able to attend. Several people, in fact. And almost all of them will be unsophisticated market players who didn’t read our 2-part series on how to scalp and do business with scalpers.

A generation ago, not being able to go to a concert you’d bought tickets for meant calling your friends and hoping one of them could take the tickets off your hands. Eating the tickets, treating them as a sunk cost, was often the default position. You weren’t going to call the local newspaper and spend money on a classified ad to sell the tickets, especially with a 3-day turnaround time. (God, it’s unfathomable that we used to live in a world like that.)

But today? We’re not even talking about regimented for-profit services like StubHub and its parent, eBay. Put those ducats on Craig’s List and you’ll probably get multiple offers. And the same goes for a buyer: more likely than not, you’ll have your pick of seat locations and prices. It’s Adam Smith’s wildest fantasies come true, albeit 2 centuries too late for him to enjoy them.

Best of all, it’s a way to stick it to the man. Don’t worry about the ticket companies, operating in cahoots with every venue in the nation. They’ll still make their money. Let them make it off the other idiots, not you. Repeat after us:

I will not buy tickets the moment they’re released to the public (see Facebook, IPO of).

I understand that ticket sellers at the origin no longer have a monopoly. Tickets.com has no more power over me than does user 5htdlpsp67ckls on Craig’s List. Welcome to 2012, it’s a great place to be.

I am in control. And I’ll keep my money in my wallet until as close to the show date as possible.

Caveat vendor, indeed.