GUEST POST: 6 Habits Of A Frugal Shopper

Every week, we get solicitations for guest posts. 99% of them are dreadful. Some are even belligerent. None of them are from someone who’s actually been to our site.

Until now. Mr Credit Card runs Ask Mr Credit Card, and has good opinions. By which we mean he largely agrees with us, which makes sense, because our opinions are rooted in truth.  We assume he’s a Brit, given that he doesn’t punctuate “Mr.” He also writes in the third person, like us…er, like the Control Your Cash authors. Anyhow, take it away, Mr Credit Card:

Today, Mr Credit Card is going to highlight some habits of a frugal shopper. Though he reviews and recommends the best credit cards, he also believes that unless you are frugal and pay all your bills on time and carry no debt, you have no business carrying a credit card. Here are some of his tips to pay less than “full retail” prices.

Everybody loves a good deal. But we shouldn’t buy stuff just because we can get a good deal or there’s a sale going on. Instead, we should only buy things we really need. But even then, you should always find ways to pay “below retail”.

1. Ignore the “original price” I can’t stand how most stores mark down prices. The big department stores are the worst here as they will always show an original price or a Manufacturer’s Suggested Retail Price that is much, much higher than the lowest price. Often I see 3 or even 4 prices, suggesting that it’s marked down several times. Who cares? Do you know what you can do with your “suggestions”? The only price that counts is the price you pay.

(Ed. Note: Any man who’s taken part in the following useless conversation, raise your hand: Q: “Honey, how much did that cost?”  A: “I got it on sale.”)

2. Always Compare Prices Just because an item is marked down, that doesn’t mean it’s even a good deal. I found what I thought was a good deal on Amazon the other day. No other retailer I searched for had this cordless phone system at a lower price after tax and shipping. Even eBay was a bust. The next day, I found the phone system in Costco for almost half of what Amazon was selling it for. Research all your major purchases. This was the exception, as I usually find lower prices at Amazon or eBay than most retail stores, but you never really know. EBay

(Ed. Note: How do you capitalize “eBay”, assuming you do, when it starts a sentence? Curse this stupid phenomenon of brand names that start with lowercase letters and have medial capitals.)

is especially good for low-price, highly-marked up items like computer and electronic cables and accessories. I can always find a cell phone recharger for $5 that costs $20 at the dealer.

3. Always Ignore Credit Card Rewards Credit cards rewards are great, but only if you pay off your balance in full every month. Even then, you can still be tempted to spend more. One of the funnier lines in a movie I once saw was when the ditzy teenager was questioned as to whether her parents mind her spending so much on her credit card. She replies, “So what, they’re getting frequent flier miles.” That statement perfectly encapsulates the entire premise of reward cards. The idea is to get you to spend more in order to earn your reward, which is usually worth 2% or less than your purchase. If you can’t understand why this is a bad idea, you should never, ever have a reward card.

(Ed. Note: Full disclosure, your regular blogger has an American Express HiltonHHonors card. Only because it had no annual fee and I stayed in Hilton hotels a few times a month anyway. The card gives me free hotel stays without giving me incentive to change my behavior: if I don’t have enough points for a free stay at the $89 Hilton Garden Inn while the Holiday Inn Express across the street is renting rooms for $79, you can probably figure out where I’ll stay.)

4. Pinch Twenties, Not Pennies I suppose if you have unlimited time on your hands, you can make a career out of clipping coupons. In fact, there seem to be people who do just that. For the rest of us with a job and/or a life, you have to prioritize where you save money. Go for the big scores. Spend your time and effort saving on big things.

5. Make Sure You Are Not Just “Saving Money” On Something You Really Don’t Need The whole idea behind coupons is not to let you spend less, but to make you spend more. When you see a coupon for some product, ask yourself if it was something that you were going to purchase anyway. If it was, great. If not, forget it. Ask yourself if there aren’t less expensive alternatives. Perhaps you can get the same item for less on eBay or Craig’s List?

6. Always Compare Total Prices We live in a world with little price transparency. Book a rental car if you want to see how your bill quickly becomes twice the price of the rental itself. Telecommunications companies are close behind with all of their tax recovery charges. Hey, I pay taxes too! Can I subtract a “tax recovery fee” from your bill? Even a straightforward online purchase might include tax and shipping.

Even playing with the house’s money isn’t enough

Bum on a bench

The only thing more pathetic than a horse player? A dog player.

If you don’t know anything about sports, read this instead. Or try and slog through today’s post. If you want the conclusion first, today’s moral is that gambling remains a moron’s pursuit.

——————-

Not only can you not consistently win gambling, you can barely win if the house pays for your bets.

A Control Your Cash acquaintance (we’d use the generic pseudonym “Bob”, except that’s his real name, so let’s call him “Stu”) recently found himself in possession of the kind of thing most gamblers only dream about – a free, hot ticket. Here’s the story.

Bob Stu likes to gamble on sports occasionally. (Whatever, we don’t hold it against him.) You might not know this, but the IRS lets you deduct gambling losses up to a certain amount. We don’t mention that in the book, because you shouldn’t be gambling anyway. When most gamblers lose a bet in the race & sports books in Las Vegas, they discard their tickets, not realizing that they count as effective receipts and proof of loss. It’s fairly common for enterprising gamblers to scour the aisles looking for discarded tickets written for large enough amounts. Stu isn’t above this.

One weekday afternoon during the NFL preseason, Stu thought he’d hit the jackpot, so to speak. He found a perfectly preserved $100 ticket that would make a great addition to his tax return.

On closer inspection, it turned out to be three neatly folded $100 tickets, each for the same wager.

On still closer inspection, the wager turned out to be live. Each ticket was a 10-1 bet on the Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl, written hours earlier. Some schlimazel up and lost his tickets.

Stu, being the honest guy he is, returned to the book the next day and spoke with the manager. He explained the situation, slightly tempering it. (“I found a $100 ticket…”) As Stu acknowledges, “I wasn’t going to admit to having all 3. I’m not that honest.” The manager, shocked that a customer was asking him for anything other than a light, said that unless the buyer had taken the extremely unlikely precaution of writing down the ticket’s 15-digit serial number, there was nothing he, the manager, could do. The ticket and its siblings were Stu’s.

So there it was – a potential $3000, just for being in the right place at the right time.

But also a potential $0. After all, the Ravens, like any other given team, probably won’t win the Super Bowl. So how to maximize Stu’s return?

Hedging. If you’re only vaguely familiar with the term, it means forgoing the possibility of a particular payout for the greater possibility (or better yet, the certainty) of a smaller one.

Say Stu had found the tickets the week before the Super Bowl, and the Ravens happened to be playing in it. To hedge optimally, Stu would wager enough money on the other team to guarantee him the same payout regardless of who wins. Formula coming henceforth. Formula contains one addition and one division, two operations you hopefully mastered by the 4th grade.

But Stu found the tickets during the preseason. Although the oddsmakers expected the Ravens to have a good year, giving them 10-1 odds to win a 32-team league, there’s no guarantee the Ravens would even make the playoffs. Baltimore is leading the AFC North at 8-3 and looking as good as anyone expected in a tight division, in a tight conference, in a tight league.

But had T.J. Houshmandzadeh dropped on 18-yard touchdown pass with 32 seconds remaining against Pittsburgh on October 3, and Ray Lewis not recovered a fumble 3 weeks later in overtime against Buffalo, Baltimore would likely be on the outside looking in at the playoff picture.

Say Stu had advance knowledge that the Ravens would miss the playoffs. Could he have hedged enough money to guarantee himself a payout?

No. It’s unlikely any offshore wagering site offered a proposition on something as esoteric as the Ravens missing the playoffs, but if one did, it would likely set the odds around 2-5 (given that Baltimore was 10-1 to win the whole thing). That’d be a 40% return on Stu’s money, but then what if the Ravens do make the playoffs, which the oddsmakers say they probably will? Now Stu’s out the price of his hedge bet, and still needs to have multiple playoff games break the right way. After all, Stu’s ticket wasn’t for the Ravens to simply get invited to the pageant, but to win the talent and swimsuit competitions too. Stu would have to hedge every playoff game the Ravens are alive for, approximately doubling his bet and thus halving his potential return every time.

What if the midsummer genie said “the Ravens will make it to the Super Bowl” without specifying who’d win? Which is a pretty bold proclamation for a genie to make. Yet now, at least, we can get this down to exactly one hedge bet. But for how much?

Say Atlanta represents the NFC. The smart thing would be to place a bet on Atlanta costing
$3300/(m+1)

where m is the odds on Atlanta. Stu’s payout would be
$3300m/(m+1).

We use $3300 because that’s what Stu would pocket if his original tickets all came in: $1000 on each of three $100 10-1 tickets, plus the original $100 that the anonymous poor sucker spent on each.

Let’s say after Atlanta wins the conference, the odds on them to win the Super Bowl are 5-11. Stu would bet $2143.75 on them, guaranteeing himself $1156.25. If Atlanta paid even money, he’d wager $1650 to guarantee himself $1650. If Atlanta was an 11-5 underdog, Stu would wager $1031.25 to guarantee himself $2268.75. The better Baltimore does this year – the bigger a favorite they are – the better it is for Stu.

But this is the Super Bowl, and neither team is likely to be as big a favorite as 5-11 nor as long an underdog as 11-5. The game is supposed to be between somewhat evenly matched teams.

What if the genie said “the Ravens will make it to the conference championship”? That’s still a valuable thing for a gambler to know going into the season, or so you’d think.

By the time we get to the NFL’s round of 4, Stu could truly hedge his Super Bowl bet only by wagering on the 3 remaining teams. Which, on average, would probably each pay around 3-to-1. Or could pay a lot worse. So if he took them all, covering every outcome, Stu would be winning close to even money.  But again, he’d still have to risk a ton to keep his original, “free” bets live.

Working backward yet another step, even when there are still 8 teams alive, Stu couldn’t hedge himself more than a few bucks. Every time the number of participants increases, the number of possible outcomes does too. Double them, and you again halve (or close to it, depending on odds) Stu’s potential payout. Were the genie to guarantee Stu that the Ravens would make the playoffs, he still couldn’t make any money.

And that’s with the benefit of a nonexistent genie. Even a free 10-1 wager can’t be manipulated into a bet that guarantees anything more than a tiny sum.

If free gambling isn’t worth the effort, think about how useless it is to pay for the privilege.

**This post is featured in the Carnival of Wealth #15**

Folklore Thursday

Online shopper

Someone's about to give her credit card number to Overtsock.com

You know what’s special about today? Nothing. Just like there’s nothing special about the Monday after Thanksgiving (MAT), either.

Think about this for a second, thinking being something still encouraged here at Control Your Cash if not in most other places. Cyber Monday doesn’t exist. Well, it exists as a concept, but cash registers don’t ring any more loudly on MAT than on any other day of the year. One noteworthy thing about this particular urban legend is that we can pinpoint its origin.

Even on the surface, “Cyber Monday” makes no sense. Why would people go out of their way to shop on what is, occupationally, one of the worst days of the year for doing so? Employees return to work on MAT after the only guaranteed 4-day layoff of the year. Workloads are particularly heavy that day. MAT’s the one day on which it should be especially difficult to slack off and spend one’s time shopping online.

The beauty of shopping online is its convenience, right? After hours, at home, in your underwear or less, sitting on the couch, one foot on the coffee table and the other in a bowl of Doritos.* Why would you buy online on MAT when there are dozens more convenient days to do so?

Here’s the story that started this nonsense, courtesy of CNN.

(That’s the same esteemed news organization that brought you, among other pieces of easily disprovable tripe, “Cloned baby born”. Video, audio, pictures, or even second-hand accounts of the birth forthcoming. Just not in the first 8 years and counting.)

(Isn’t it amazing how little time it can take for a headline to look ridiculously dated? Five years, in this case. “After Black Friday comes Cyber Monday”. Too bad CNN wasn’t there to write “Electronic Mail to Supplant Post Cards As Popular Means Of Communicating”. Then again, maybe they did. We’ll check the archives.)

Check out the details of the “Cyber Monday” story. It says “77% of online retailers said their sales increased substantially last year on the Monday after Thanksgiving.”

You need to read everything with a critical eye. Except for our blog posts, they’re the unshellacked truth. Why? Because no one ever quantifies anything.

“Sales increased”. Over what? The day before? The hour before? The previous Monday? The story doesn’t state any origin from which sales increased, so we have to guess. In journalism school, this is called omitting crucial details, and it’s a senior-level course. There are two reasons for a journalist to omit crucial details. The less common one is to advance an agenda: the more common one is because the idiot writing the piece is too stupid to recognize a crucial detail.

On average, MAT occurs on the 332nd day of the year. Presumably, for the 77% of companies who gave an answer that the poll questioners were looking for, they’d sell more merchandise over 332 days than they would over 331. Not only is this so obvious that it hardly counts as an observation, but the qualifier “substantially” in the original story is up to the discretion of the questionee, not the questioner.

So, no Cyber Monday doesn’t exist. Shop online next Monday, but don’t think you’re getting any better or worse deals than you’d get on August 16 or March 3.

*Writer’s conception. Our house is not like this.

**This post is featured in the Carnival of Personal Finance #284:Thanksgiving Preparation Edition**