#MakeCollegeUnnecessary

Melvin's busy making spacecraft, but as soon as he's on his break he'd love to hear your analysis of heteronormative role play in modern media.

Melvin’s busy making spacecraft, but as soon as he’s on his break he’d love to hear your analysis of heteronormative role play in modern media.

 

Of course, it already is unnecessary, but try telling that to the liberal arts majors who seem to be providing most of the vocal power for the latest rallying cry/hashtag. No less formidable a force than the President of the United States has made “college affordability” his latest pet cause, arguing that the marketplace of education should be subject to something other than natural laws.

Things cost what they cost. Prices, with exceedingly rare exceptions, are inversely correlated to quantities bought. When the price of gas rises, it might not affect your own driving habits perceptibly, but one person in a hundred or a thousand is going to say, “Screw it, I’m taking the bus.” And if Chico’s decides to knock a few bucks off the price of its Magique pull-on ankle pants, they’ll sell more pairs to more fashionable if budget-conscious women. Raising prices means lower demand. Meanwhile sales (in the sense of “discounts”) increase sales (in the sense of “revenue”.) This is so obvious that pointing it out hardly counts as cogitation.

College was historically expensive, which is why a) for centuries, hardly anyone went and those who did were rich, and 2) in the last couple of generations, parents started creating college funds for their progeny. Save today, spend on Junior 18 years from now. It wasn’t easy, but supposedly nothing worthwhile is.

As a quantifier of how far we’ve advanced as a society, we’re reminded that university attendance is way up and that a larger ratio of our college-age colleagues are heading for tertiary education than ever before. This is supposed to be a pure representation of prosperity, akin to rising per capita income or declining infant mortality. In a future utopia, 100% of high school seniors will attend Harvard, Yale, or the safety school of their choice (probably Penn.)

What percentage of age-appropriate people should be attending college? Far less than do now. The evidence is overwhelming:

  • The college graduate who works at a retail job, far from being a tragic anomaly, has gone beyond cliché and turned into a quotidian feature of life.
  • Just about every personal finance blogger on the planet – i.e., people who think they have some sort of qualification for talking about money – carries tens of thousands of dollars in student loans and doesn’t even seem embarrassed by the situation.
  • Tuition has outpaced inflation by about 150%. We’ll explain why this is in a minute.
  • The most uncomfortable truth of all, for baccalaureate holders who want reality to be something other than what it’s currently constituted as: qualified blue-collar workers aren’t merely getting by, they’re prospering. Nor are they going into debt to do it.

Regarding the 3rd point above: when the federal government began the nationalization of education financing, that put downward (political) pressure on interest rates. After all, what’s the point of bureaucrats getting involved at the behest of our elected representatives if they can’t lower rates for the benefit of the voting public? Interest rates went from what the market would bear – i.e., where the lowest rate lenders were willing to offer matched the highest rate students and their parents were willing to pay – to something lower than that. Sallie Mae has no incentive to turn a profit in the same manner that independent lenders would, knowing that taxpayers can and will make up the difference.

The schools still operate with respect to the balance sheet, however. The University of Michigan might not be a for-profit venture in the same sense that DeVry or the University of Phoenix is, but the former still has an endowment to maintain and expenses to pay. Out of tuition and gifts mostly, and tuition monies are less subject to whim and variance than donations are. So…

If you’re a university, why not increase tuition far beyond its historic norms? You have tens of thousands of potential incoming students, all of whom have been convinced (or convinced themselves) that what you’re selling is indispensable. Throw a dead cat (its body donated by the biology department, where smart kids are learning marketable skills) and you’ll hit a professor (its body taking up space in the humanities department) who will argue that college education is a public utility of comparable import to electricity and water. The only difference is that the local power company is probably a mandated monopoly that’s forced by law to charge below-market rates that cover expenses and allow for a modest profit. Meanwhile, universities don’t operate under such constraints. If every university in the United States decided tomorrow to double its tuition, students would grumble, lead protests, wear Che Guevara shirts, listen to Rage Against The Machine, maybe even burn effigies of Richard Nixon, but they’d still get their parents to pay. Largely because they can’t see nor comprehend the price tags. I still have enough to pay for this week’s pot and hummus wraps, right? That’s all that matters. Besides, I don’t have to start paying back until I graduate.

Perverse incentives, again. Now you’ve just given Johnny Undergrad motivation for spending money and time on a master’s degree and deferring life even longer.

Debt will kill you, often creating a hole in 4 years that you can spend 8 times as long digging out of. It doesn’t matter: education remains a drug more desirable than the purest batch of crack. Maybe that’s the problem, a semantic one. “Education” implies a universal good, like “health” or “prosperity”. But education is what you get when you absorb and retain practical knowledge. Which indicates true education – knowing that Shakespeare intended Prospero to be an autobiographical character in The Tempest, or knowing that the duration of a vehicle’s spark line is based on total primary circuit resistance and coil voltage available?

Now, knowing which of those will remedy a weak fuel/air mixture and get someone’s car running smoothly? Okay, which of those can you learn only in an inexpensive community college or trade school? Finally, which will impress an employer (excluding deans of college English departments), and make a tangible difference in the world?

Stop complaining, and stop moving in a direction other than forward. When a significant portion of college students realize they’ll be better off elsewhere, those colleges will notice. When parents begin to acknowledge that the math will never pencil out on their daughter’s performing arts degree, purveyors of higher education will have no choice but to communicate more effectively to their clientele exactly what they’re getting for the money. And hopefully, our demagogues in charge will realize that the stated goal of higher enrolment shouldn’t be an end unto itself.

GUEST POST: Take (One Of The) Two And Call Me In The Morning

NOTE: Last week we received the following post, unsolicited, from a physician and avid reader who asked to remain anonymous. We agreed that it was so far beyond fantastic, we weren’t sure how to react.
You need to understand: people submit multiple guest posts to us every week, almost all of them garbage. This one was beautifully written, concise, loaded with practical if uncomfortable advice, and he even annotated it. Finally, someone who took our guest post guidelines to heart. With no further introduction, here it is:

 

empty lab coat

 

My father-in-law is a brilliant farmer with no post-secondary education. I always wondered why he didn’t blink when I told him 4 years ago how much medical school was going to cost. He finances $350,000 tractors and $500,000 combines with debt, and I never understood why. Now I do. $150,000 in student debt at 3% to finance an M.D. is a leveraged investment made to acquire an asset. As such, it’s not a liability.

Wait a second, guest poster/avid CYC reader/slow-learning doctor. I thought guest posts on CYC are rare, and I thought guest authors had to be adamant about avoiding student debt.

You’re right; they are rare. And no, you don’t have to shun student debt before you can author a guest post on CYC. You must, however, understand its role in creating wealth. The CYC principals do. So do most wealthy people who own educational assets. This makes CYC unique in a sea of debt-hating bloggers who incessantly try to convince you that life’s number one priority is to flog your debt into submission. Remain calm, ignore them, and read on.

If you’re thinking about borrowing money to attend an institution that charges (insert average in-state tuition here) to learn (insert pointless degree here), stop. Especially if you were planning on using a government hand-out under the guise of a loan to get drunk and attend your classes hung-over in the back row. Educational choices are an opportunity to apply CYC’s fundamentals: analyze your options and divide them into distinct categories – assets and liabilities. Buy one of the two, sell the other, and call me in the morning.

Sheeple all over America are being fed the same rotten advice by the graying shepherd: “Nothing is going to have as great an impact on your success in life as your education,” and “the best job qualification you can have is a college degree or advanced training.” This sounds like a government with a pathological urge to over-spend on non-assets. It gets better. Without commenting on what type of college graduates should be trained, Mr. Obama wants to “see America have the highest proportion of college graduates in the world” by the end of the decade. That most government student loans don’t incorporate criteria regarding your proposed field of study exposes the truth that Uncle Sam is in the business of giving away money to students, not lending it. As young Americans are herded towards this 2020 target, we need individuals in political office like this financial stud, who was scorned for his modest choice in vehicle by a journalistic coward. Vote for men (and women) like this. The political momentum behind a federal bailout for over-extended student debtors is gathering steam. You can already hear the shouts across the crowded collegiate bar: “I’ve got this round boys, Obama’s going to pay for it anyway.” It’s funny, because it’s true. And millions of Americans bleat a version of the same thing every day.

Take, for example, the college-educated car-scrubber-turned-paper-runner Landon Crider, or eager-beaver Megan Parker, both interviewed in a recent New York Times article narrating the tragic plight of the overeducated. Instead of reading CYC and heeding Kincaid’s and McFarlane’s pleas, Ms. Parker chose to borrow $100,000 to land a job as – wait for it – a receptionist, commanding an annual salary of $37,000. Working as a receptionist from 9-5 is a perfectly admirable way to put food on the table. However, going into 6-figure debt for the opportunity to answer phones for lawyers indicates that Ms. Parker savors the life of a wage-slave (commonly referred to as “employee” by most 21st-century masters). Her boss understands this, and uses it to his advantage (good for him). In the interview, he said “‘College graduates are just more career-oriented.’” Allow me to translate: “They’ll work for far less money than they should to pursue the noble goal of ‘getting ahead.’ Plus, all my employees have a massive student debt load so they can’t quit.’” Even a journalist picked up on the problem with a degree-only law firm, but she still wrote about her subjects’ poor choices with a tone that suggests the predicament is a human rights violation.¹ Guess who she voted for? Not this guy.

Contrary to what you’ve been told, education is not an asset as a stand-alone entity. Shares of a whale-oil company ceased to be assets when light-bulbs began illuminating streets and homes. For an education to be an asset (and thus an attractive investment), it must exist in a market that gives it tangible value. This guarantees a stream of cash flows related to the initial investment. All other measures of educational value are in terms of personal fulfillment. If you’re searching for answers to ultimate questions in a class called Big Questions² with 127 other budding debt-slaves, stop calling it an “investment” and don’t borrow money to do it. Besides, you’ll only find true fulfillment in other, more Messianic sources. In your undergraduate years, for example, major in Biochemistry and Biomedical Sciences³ or something else useful. You remain free to minor in Music Cognition, Communications Studies, or whatever else you want. Heck, pull out all the stops and take an elective in Personal Finance instead of Philosophies of War and Peace.

To really go against the grain, try the seemingly foreign concepts of working and saving for things. If Steve Boedefeld and Zack Tolmie did it, you can too. According to the author of the article, not borrowing money to acquire liabilities is enough of an accomplishment to be distinguished as a “rare species.” Congratulations, you two. Be like Steve and Zack. Buck the trend and complete your undergraduate studies debt-free.

That sounds like a lot of work.

Right. Most things worth having are.

Every course offering in your college’s academic calendar is not a ticket to prosperity. Search for a program that satisfies this basic investment criterion before you borrow to pay for it: it must result in a positive return on investment for the useful life of the asset. In other words, find out if there are jobs in your field of interest that will pay off your debt before you retire (or default). Such analysis is mandatory before leveraging debt. Make time to read and understand the difference between an intelligent choice in higher education and a wasteful one by digesting what CYC thinks about my fellow Canadian or about this money pit.

Based on data collected by the American Association of Medical Colleges, U.S. medical school graduates carry an average of $166,750 in student debt. Following 4 years of medical school, Graduate Medical Education prepares residents for independent practice and lasts 3-7 years, depending on specialty choice. The GME training salaries are far less than most people think: resident physicians earn a median salary of $49,651 in their first year of residency. For the customary (and recently-capped) 80-hour work week, it works out to approximately $12.67 per hour ($49,651 per year/[80 hours per week × 49 weeks per work year]). Remember that, the next time you decide to spit on, swear at, and berate us for being part of the 1%.⁴ After residency, most physicians typically earn well over $150,000 per year for the remainder of their careers doing what they went to school to do. Plus, it’s a rewarding job that contributes to humanity and advances civilization.

You’re just fortunate that you’ve found a job you like that pays well.

You’re right, I am extremely fortunate. But I don’t like my job; I love my job. You’re indignant, I understand. That’s because you’re currently pursuing a Women’s Studies major to work beside Ms. Parker. It’s not too late to identify a different field with an attractive return, and switch. Don’t drown in sunk costs. If you’re weighing your options, your job before borrowing to finance an education is to discern an asset from a liability. Don’t avoid debt as a matter of principle.

If this sounds like the same advice CYC gives on regarding all prospective investments, it is. Why should your education be any different?

Keep reading this blog. Buy the book.

—————————————

¹ The author of the article even challenges her readers to “consider” in the second paragraph. For long-time CYC readers, you know why this is a no-no. For new CYC readers, don’t consider reading about this weak word, read all about this weak word here.

² The courses of study referenced in this post are actually current undergraduate courses listed by my college in the academic calendar.

³ Your guest author’s course of undergraduate study. This serves as an example, not as a template. Market conditions change and vary regionally. Please decipher the basic premise.

⁴ Common on the floors of academic teaching hospitals. We usually respond with “Thank you.” Less often, we respond with an order to switch from orally to rectally administered medication, because, well, the pen is mightier than the sword.

College Is Too Cheap

You can tell when someone’s speaking from the heart from the size of his index card

 

UPDATE, 10/17/12: In our haste to post this, we missed some details. Reader Brad Hutchings points out that the subject of our post studies exercise science at Adelphi University.

 

Yes, too cheap. If it were more expensive, say 3 times as much across the board, maybe people would then step back and ask themselves the education cost-benefit question they’ve been avoiding all these years.

 

Against our better judgment, yesterday we watched an uncomfortable-looking Statistic (his name escapes us) ask the two men vying for the presidency a question related to the price and importance of college. (Every American should have the opportunity to go to college, don’t you know.)

As a 20-year-old college student, all I hear from professors, neighbors and others is that when I graduate, I will have little chance to get employment. What can you say to reassure me, or more importantly my parents, that I will be able to sufficiently support myself after I graduate?

Because both men want to get elected, they each delivered a variation on “You worked hard, you deserve a good job, college should be more affordable for all Americans, and my 5-point plan will ensure that…” It’ll ensure that our attention switches to the competing baseball game on another network, is what it’ll do.

Neither Mitt Romney nor President Obama asked the awkward and uncomfortable young man with the bad posture any of the following questions:

  • What are you majoring in?
  • What are your grades?
  • Can you read and write, or if I go on your Facebook page will I see a grammatical killing field?
  • Are you grinding, or do you drink a lot and smoke a lot of pot?
  • No, seriously. Come on. You get drunk a couple nights a week, don’t you?

But the candidates didn’t even have to respond to the question with questions of their own. They could have been more direct:

“I can’t. I’d like to think that the job market will improve by the time you graduate, but your future employment is not my concern. Honestly, it’s not. It’s your concern. And your parents’, it seems, but if you want to be an adult entrusted with the responsibility of voting then maybe you should be standing on your own.

“Kid, the real world is unforgiving. 8% of Americans are out of work, thus 92% have jobs. The odds are in your favor. Lots of people in your graduating class are going to get hired. The ones who don’t are going to be the least employable ones.

“So, all this reduces to whether you’re hirable. You obviously don’t have any real world experience, so it’s going to take grades and specialized knowledge to make money.

“You’re probably a liberal arts student. No, that’s not a comment on your nebbishness and your demeanor. Nor is the word ‘nebbishness’ a comment on your palpable Judaism. The reason I think you’re a liberal arts student is that you’re worried about your future. Go ask the kids majoring in engineering and math if they’re concerned about getting hired. It’s like the old joke, ‘What do you call the guy who graduates at the bottom of his med school class?’ ‘Doctor.’

“So let’s assume you’re majoring in English, sociology, something like that. Then you’re screwed. But I’m older and smarter than you, and I live a pretty comfortable life, so I must know a little something about this. Listen to my advice. You’re almost certainly not going to act on it, but at least I’ll have answered your question.

“Get out. Get out now. Drop out of school immediately. You go to school where, Hofstra? That’s like $32,000 a year. Drop out and find yourself a trade school. There’s one in Chicago that practically guarantees its students jobs. These students are getting hired before they graduate.

“The catch is that you have to give up on your dream of being a professional nothing-in-particular, and commit to something more concrete. The kids in question are getting hired as machinists. You don’t appear to be the kind of person who likes working with his hands, but as you pointed out, the job market is rotten. And the most satisfying lives are often the ones that diverge from the original plan.

“Best of all, it costs next to nothing to go to that school. $89 per credit hour for people who live in the district. You’re from Long Island, so you can probably find a similar and similarly priced college close to home. Hell, you can live with your parents. Work part-time to cover the $89 per credit hour, and you can emerge from this with

  • No debt
  • A well-paying job waiting for you.

Conservatively speaking you could make $45,000 out of the gate, and tons beyond that with overtime. After a couple years, you’ll be making a lot more.

I’ll say this again: you’ll be carrying zero debt, notwithstanding what your parents have already thrown away on college tuition. Read the example from the guy at the end of that last story, the father with a son who’s a budding machinist and a daughter who’s a teacher with a 4-year education degree. Her student loan debt is 15 months’ wages.

But yeah, the son’s collar is blue. And he never had the ‘opportunity’ to go to college. So he’s the loser in this scenario, by some crazy measure. Meanwhile his sister will be in debt for the rest of her life. Well, maybe not her life. But even with the most diligent financial planning – which she hasn’t exactly executed up until this point – it’ll take her at least 5 years to pay off those student loans. After that, she’ll be…a teacher. Not a profession with a lot of room for financial growth.

That, or you could fix airplanes or learn to operate machine tools. You know, actually make tangible stuff with a tangible benefit. Get rewarded handsomely, if not richly, and make yourself employable for life. And, one more time, no debt. Believe me, personal debt will affect every step you take as an adult. The deeper it goes, the worse it’ll get for you. Avoid or minimize it now, and you’ll breathe that much more freely than your counterparts. You’ll be able to build future wealth – investments, etc. – that the Hofstra anthropology class of ’14 won’t be able to. Because they’ll still be paying down student loans while working service jobs.

Does that answer your question?”