A Message To Graduates Everywhere

You don't want to peak early. But you probably will.

 

Congratulations. You coasted through high school – 94% of which requires you to do little more than be present – and now the next chapter of your life begins, to quote a tiresome saying. Or, if you prefer, you can just extend the current chapter and defer adulthood.

If you think a college education is the one good or service in the world that doesn’t stand up to cost-benefit scrutiny, where price means nothing, you’re too dumb to go to college (or for you parents out there, have your progeny go to college) anyway.

How much higher can the universities make you jump? We recently spent a few seconds seeing what a generic accredited 4-year school, Arizona State, charges incoming non-resident freshmen who want to spend 4 years languishing in the liberal arts program. Including on-campus housing, and assuming no fee increases until 2017 (as if), it adds up to $152,588.

What if Arizona State raised that number to $250,000? Or $350,000? Would you shrug your shoulders, say “Hey, it’s an investment in the future/An education is priceless”, perhaps complain to your elected officials about skyrocketing costs and organize a protest?

Or you could take a step back and think, “Maybe the math doesn’t work out on this.”

Universities and the DeBeers Company are the only producers in all of commerce who have adopted the following (wildly successful) sales pitch:

What we’ve got is so important, you have no choice but to buy.

COROLLARY: In fact, you’re lucky we deign to sell to you.

A diamond isn’t forever, and neither are most college educations.

No, really. Unless you didn’t happen to notice that divorcées and underemployed college graduates are two categories of human that not only exist, but flourish. If marriage can be the triumph of hope over experience, so can overeducation. A poorly suited spouse will wreck your life, as will a poorly suited degree.

A B.A. in English literature is – what’s the word? Useless.

How dare you say that. Besides, that’s not true. I can teach.

Are you really going to teach? Furthermore, is that even an ambition, or just a defense against an uncomfortable accusation?

Even if it is your lifelong dream to teach (and the timidity of so modest a dream is a topic for another time), you do understand that you’ll be setting yourself up for a life of miniscule pay and massive debts, right? Or have you not applied the math you learned in the 4th grade, and determined what you’ll be getting into, financially speaking?

Of course you haven’t, because you’re not that bright. Despite what everyone’s been telling you, and despite how going to college somehow serves as reinforcement of your status as a smart person. Look, we’ve seen your emails and comments. Most of you think punctuation is like oregano, to be used only sparingly, not consistently.

Here’s the Control Your Cash College Entrance Questionnaire. It has 78 fewer questions than the SAT, and we can grade it instantly.

 

 

 

1. Do you have an aptitude for math and/or science?

Yes         No

IF YOU ANSWERED YES, PUT YOUR PENCIL DOWN. DO NOT TURN TO THE NEXT PAGE.

2. Okay, how about for craftsmanship? This could be anything that gets your hands dirty and that provides a tangible result – carpentry, working on cars, helping your uncle install ceiling fans, whatever.

Yes         No

IF YOU ANSWERED NO TO BOTH QUESTIONS, YOUR FORMAL EDUCATION IS EFFECTIVELY OVER.

 

 

 

University is not the only option. You don’t need a bachelor’s degree to do plenty of lucrative and/or worthwhile jobs. There are thousands of examples. Here are four:

You can hawk real estate with a high school diploma (and a realtor’s license, which takes a few weeks to earn and does not require a demanding course of study). You can be a roustabout on an oil rig, and you’ll immediately be in the top half of American workers by salary. You can enlist in the Air Force, which will teach you much more marketable skills than college will and will pay you for the privilege. You can get a job selling appliances at Sears, which might sound awful to you, but a) you’re 18 and b) if you go to college to study something that carries no prospect of financial reward, you’re going to be working retail in 4 or 5 years anyway. At least this way, when you’re 22 you’ll have enough experience that you should have moved up by now. You’ll also have zero student debt.

As much as you think tertiary education can improve your life, consumer debt can hamper it. Education broadens your horizons, you’re telling yourself? Great. Debt narrows them at every turn.

“Want to do x (move to Alaska, backpack Asia for 3 months, buy a new and reliable car, put a down payment on this cheap house that I found)?”

“Sorry. I can’t afford it.”

Borrow money to defer life for 4 years, and there’s a lot you won’t be able to afford. Then and later.

None of the above jobs has to be a career, either. The Air Force is the only one that comes with an obligation, and even that lasts only 3 years.

Stop believing the hype. People hear the phrase “college isn’t for everyone” and they think it means “college is for everyone but the dumb.” When we say someone “isn’t college material”, it’s usually intended as an insult. It shouldn’t be. Some of the stupidest people on the planet parade through the halls of academia. Many of them never leave. Your average long-haul driver at the roadside diner will give you more stimulating conversation than your average adjunct professor of sociology. Also, the former is far more likely to offer to pick up the tab.

Can you find something satisfying and rewarding to do for a living? Will you be able to do it without dreading certain bills that’ll come at the end of the month (unless you planned to not incur those bills in the first place)? Can you do it while building wealth, and thus options, for you and your loved ones? If you can do all three, that’s true intelligence.

Nothing Is Your Fault Or, Student Loans Are Killing Our Economy, Part CXXV

 

This picture was taken in 1992, right when the loan balances were at their highest. No word on how much the wedding cost, or if the betrothed paid for it out-of-pocket.

 

We’ve got a fantastic investment idea for you, one that you’re a fool if you don’t take advantage of. It’s a no-brainer, really. Refusing this investment would be like turning down matching funds from your employer for your 401(k). In fact, it’s even more fundamental than that. Refusing this investment would be like turning down a raise. “Do you want more money?” “No, I’m good with less, thanks.” Saying no to this investment would be like simultaneously spitting on the flag and tearing up a Bible. (Note: On the first draft that showed up on the page as “tearing up a Buble”, which would be awesome. Thank you, Mr. Qwerty, for putting the “I” and the “U” keys next to each other and making such comedy possible.)

And if you need more incentive, the President himself does it.

The investment? Student loans! Yes, they come with a mandatory interest payment, but who cares? Investment! In your future! (As if you could have an investment in your past or your present.) Keep repeating buzzwords as necessary!

If you needed any further proof that our economy is doomed and that you should save yourself and your loved ones first, read this quote from the chief executive himself:

We only finished paying off our student loans off about 8 years ago. That wasn’t that long ago. And that wasn’t easy–especially because when we had Malia and Sasha, we’re supposed to be saving up for their college educations, and we’re still paying off our college educations.

To recap: the President of the United States has a B.A. (from Columbia, which is not inexpensive) and a law degree (Harvard, which is less so). He started attending Occidental College in 1979 before transferring, and received the law degree in 1991. He financed at least one of the degrees, and paid back the loans in 2004.

So it took him somewhere between 13 and 25 years to pay off his education. Let’s split the difference and call it 19.

Also, while paying off the loans, he and his wife decided it’d be a good idea to take on more expenses – in the form of a couple of children. Those children, by the way, now attend an elementary/middle school that costs them a combined $64,920 to attend every year (includes hot lunch).

Let’s take the last part of that quote again:

We’re supposed to be saving up for their college educations, and we’re still paying off our college educations.

“We’re supposed to be saving up for their college educations”, as if it’s a moral imperative on a par with “we’re supposed to feed and clothe them.” No one even questions the value of this anymore: going to college is at least as important as anything else you can think of.

The above quotes come from a speech to, appropriately enough, a bunch of college kids (at the University of North Carolina); none of whom spent the previous weekend passing around the bong and sleeping through lectures. President Obama didn’t get into the financial details of his and the First Lady’s loans, but we do know that they took somewhere around 2 decades to pay off.

But that’s OK, because a college degree enables you to earn more money, right? It should be obvious that whatever increase in salary these borrowers enjoyed because of their educational status, it was more than negated by the price of the loan. 19 years is practically half a regular working life, and it’s being spent committed to paying down the debt incurred to ostensibly enrich that life in the first place. How much further could we take this? Would it be OK to work for 42 years, and spend 41 years paying off student loans? Why not? Investment (in your future)!

Some of you wags are bringing up objections. We can hear them already. Let the debunking begin:

1) “He was a law professor. An intellectual. The smartest man alive, in fact. What was he supposed to do, drive a truck?”

So by virtue of being smarter than someone who began working sooner and accumulated no debt in the process, the smart person…incurs obligations that take 2 decades to pay off? Fine, you lead 1-0.

2) “Well, he ended up as President. Therefore incurring student loan debt was the right move.”

By that logic, you can defend everything he did before the 2008 election. Snorting coke while organizing the community? +1. Attending a church presided over by a lunatic preacher with insane opinions? Another +1. Kids, put down the shovel and instead pick up the mirror and the straw. Then join the Westboro Baptist Church. Ticket to success, right there.

Finally, for fairness and balance, let’s include another quote about tertiary education from another man running for president:

When I went to school, we didn’t have a federal student loan program, and I was able to work my way through college and medical school because it wasn’t so expensive.

Never mind. Those are clearly the ramblings of a crazy person.

Seriously, why was college so much cheaper when Ron Paul was studying?

1. College hadn’t been rammed down our throats as mandatory. It was perfectly acceptable to brag that you were going to learn a trade after high school.

2. The government wasn’t involved.

The costs are allowed to skyrocket because you can keep kicking the can down the road. When no one has to pay the bill for decades, why even think about it? The same applies to healthcare: not post-2014 healthcare, but healthcare as it’s currently constituted.  When a 3rd party – the government, an HMO – gets between the provider and the payor, who knows (and who cares) what things cost? It’s not your problem. “My insurance is handling it.” Sure, insurance is supposed to reduce individual risk, but it increases collective risk. Give 100,000 people the same policy, same coverage, same premium and same benefits, and many of them will take risks they wouldn’t have otherwise. At that point, why not smoke and/or ride a motorcycle unhelmeted? Again, it’s not your problem. It’s someone else’s.
Furthermore, if you declare bankruptcy, the courts won’t discharge your student loans. From the lender’s perspective, this is great. If you can fog a mirror and have a Social Security Number, they’ll lend you the money.
But if the government got out of the picture, and the lenders risked losing money, they might start asking tough questions: like, “How will you pay this back with a B.A. in women’s studies?”
Would the government get out of the picture? A lot depends on who’s in charge, and what his own experience is.
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The money’s sitting there. JUST TAKE IT!




Speaking of UC-Santa Barbara, here’s some loser who couldn’t get into a better school. Carol Greider. America’s latest Nobel laureate in physiology/medicine.

A few weeks ago we got chided (chiding is a regular occurrence in our world) by the guy in change of a far more prominent personal finance blog that we occasionally contribute to.

A high school senior had a choice to make – a free ride at a demanding but obscure college, or full price ($40,000) at a heralded school in the Ivy minor League. Let’s call the first school Commuter University, and the latter Pretension College. She posted her dilemma on the site and asked commenters to weigh in.

Can you guess what people recommended? Here, we’ll do it in multiple-choice form:

__ Do whatever you think is best.
__ Either one is a good choice, there are pros and cons to both.
__ This is the time to live, not to think about financial considerations.
__ Have you thought about student loans?

__ Are you insane? Go to the school that’s offering the full scholarship.

The answers were evenly split among the first 4, with one vote for #5. You can probably guess whom.

#1 and #2 don’t even count as advice, but that doesn’t stop people from sharing their non-opinions. #3 and #4 are essentially the same (rotten) advice, which is to incur debt now and worry about the ramifications later.

The worst part is that she was going to study a hard science, too. Look, if you major in chemistry, it doesn’t really matter whether you do it at Duke or at the University of North Texas. It’s not going to impact your ability to get a job in your chosen field. Only those who employ non-scientists (sociologists, social workers, basically anything that starts with “soc-”, with the possible exception of soccer coaches) care that you went to a “prominent” school. A Harvard English degree might be more profitable than one from Cal-Santa Barbara, only because of that ridiculous concept called cachet. It’s not as if the professors at the former can inspire you to parse the meaning of Pilgrim’s Progress any better than those at the latter.

This girl was obviously bright enough to get the attention of multiple schools, but her financial acumen was the equivalent of a kindergartner’s. And along with the failure to make the obvious decision were a litany of excuses, most of them citing “life experiences” and other non-monetary considerations. Not that non-monetary considerations aren’t important in this life, but paying for college isn’t one of them. Knowing that you’re going to be incurring 4 years’ worth of student loans is like knowing that you’re going to have a gigantic credit card balance in 2015. Or knowing that you’re going to lose every game of chance you play. Or knowing that your house is going to lose $40,000 in value. The last three examples are somewhat subject to explanation, but the first one was a fixed cost that this woman gleefully embraced. The two birds in the bush are the primary motivating factors for many a young person who can’t see the giant California condor resting in her palm.

We finished our diatribe by asking an equivalent question with a slight twist, which no one (including the story’s protagonist) bothered to answer:

This time, it’s Pretension College that offers you the full scholarship. Meanwhile, Commuter University starts off your freshman orientation week by handing you a $40,000 check. Now which school do you prefer?

**This article is featured in the Carnival of Personal Finance #320-Plutus Awards Edition**