Our $616 Windfall Could Be Yours

 

It’s 2012. Why are we still getting mail?

This summer we wrote about the inefficiency of the live event ticket market. The primary sellers – TicketMaster and their ilk – have attempted to maximize profits by not only tacking on dubious charges and fees, but selling tickets as much as 10 months in advance of the show date. That gives said ticket distributors a chance to enjoy your money even earlier. A bird in the hand, etc.

We can’t emphasize this enough, which is why it warrants a 2nd post – buy your tickets as late as possible. (See? We can be repetitive, too! All the greats do it.) You people who claim “I like to collect experiences, not things”, whatever that means, especially should take heed here.

Like that of a lot of goods in the last decade, the market for tickets has changed drastically. The original problem was that it was a pure monopoly, or at least had most of the characteristics of one. You bought your tickets from TicketMaster, or whomever, or you missed out and panicked on the day of the event, which involved going to a scalper at the venue. And for anyone who’s ever done it, buying from a scalper feels slightly less seedy than patronizing a pot dealer or a veiny prostitute.

You don’t have to do this anymore. There’s a better way. As business author and envelope maven Harvey Mackay puts it, “There’s no such thing as a sold-out house.” Here’s how you get tickets for that basketball game/Lady Gaga concert/flea circus without tying up your money unnecessarily.

Wait until the last minute. Not literally the last minute, but close enough. Tickets go on sale this week for a concert that doesn’t take place until April? Major League Baseball released its schedule and you plan to see the Diamondbacks play the Dodgers in the final homestand of the season? Relax. Have a soda. Go for a walk. Fly to Argentina, marvel at the Andes for a few weeks.

Then, 3 (or better yet 2, but it’s hard to get there without practice) days out, hit

  • StubHub
  • eBay
  • The underrated superstar here, Craigslist.

You know how you can lose all sense of discretion when you’re enthralled by a live event, playing air drums along with Neil Peart or cheering a football team onto victory against a division rival? There it is again, that cursed right brain getting in the way and ruining our lunch. Cutting loose during an event is fine, even encouraged, but you still have to be icy and logical during the process of buying your ticket. OMG RAVENS-STEELERS GOTTA BE ON THE 50-YARD LINE NO MATTER WHAT NO MATTER WHAT I SAY is no way to commit what could be a few hundred dollars to what’s only going to last 3 hours or so, tailgating excluded.

Slow down and remember – you’re buying something extremely perishable. Getting excited about buying a car, and risking overpayment because you’re afraid it’ll be gone tomorrow, is dumb. But behaving the same way regarding an event is even stupider because…

On balance, it’s almost always a buyer’s market. Unlike the tickets in the seller’s possession, the cash in your pocket will still be worth something tomorrow. Use that leverage.

But I have to see Chris Brown! It’s the last show of the tour, and he might be in prison a year from now.

Again, slow down. You don’t “have” to see anything. And they’ll play the Super Bowl next year, too. They always do. It’s fun to think that your life becomes more meaningful if you inconvenience yourself to see a concert or a game that you think holds special meaning. Maybe it even does. But if it does, that doesn’t mean you should overpay for the privilege.

If you’ve never used StubHub, it’s straightforward. And credible, after eBay bought it and made it a wholly owned subsidiary. eBay still maintains its own ticket marketplace for some reason, and lets you see availability and prices on both sites side-by-side:

 

 

So that gives you a starting point. Another thing to remember, and this is critical:

Asking prices mean nothing.

This is a corollary to it being a buyer’s market. A seller wants $900 for a pair of tickets with an official price of $100? Good for her. She can offer them at $30,000 if she wants, it doesn’t matter. Maybe some sellers do this in the hopes that some maldextrous buyer will accidentally press the “Buy” button and create the easiest windfall ever.

(Side note: The media attention surrounding the recent “hyperinflated” prices for Twinkies on eBay. A local newspaper reporter in CYC’s hometown claimed that Twinkies were selling for $250 apiece. They weren’t being sold at that price, they were being offered at that price. You need to look at the actual auction closing prices, which were more in the neighborhood of $2.50 per, to gain any useful information here. The exaggeration was 100-fold, but isn’t that what journalism is largely about?)

Watch one eBay ticket auction, participate if you must. Once it closes, you have the knowledge that turns the buyer’s advantage into an overwhelming one. You’ll know the crucial second half of the equation, and thus where supply and demand intersect. This places the sellers at an even bigger disadvantage.

Here’s a real-life example. We wanted to see Rush play our hometown a few weeks back. And if we were going to go, we wanted to be on the floor. The sticker price for floor seats? $154 each.

By the way, we didn’t get financially independent by making it a habit of dropping $308 for a few hours’ entertainment. Instead we hit a couple of eBay auctions, 2 and 1 nights before the show. Each time we were outbid in the final seconds, which told us a couple of things:

  • There’s some sort of demand for tickets. It’s not as if we could just swoop in and lowball on an item that no one else wanted.
  • Floor tickets were selling for about 10% below cost. Which meant they’d be getting cheaper, not more expensive, as showtime approached.

We were legitimately hoping to win the 2nd auction, but that’s the point. Don’t overpay, which means don’t overbid. We set a maximum bid before we started, and didn’t raise it, no matter how tempting doing so sounded as the clock ticked down to 0.

Then we headed to Craigslist, where buyers aren’t protected as well as eBay buyers are. You might get scammed on Craigslist, but most of the people who do are idiots and are practically pleading to be taken advantage of.

Go to NameOfYourCity.craigslist.org/tix. You can select tickets sold by owners, sold by brokers, or both.

You want tickets sold by owners. It that isn’t obvious, there are several reasons:

  • An individual owner has more incentive to sell his tickets than a broker’s employee does.
  • The former is easier to negotiate with, and probably easier to research (again, covering yourself when dealing with unknown players is critical.)

There were maybe 25 sellers hawking tickets on Craigslist. We eliminated anyone who didn’t advertise what section their tickets were in. (Why are they wasting our time, and why would they waste theirs?)

That left maybe 12, all of whom we sent the same email to. “Will you sell them for (10% below cost)?” (Unless some of the sellers had been already offering them for even less, in which case we’d offer something still less than that. But no one was offering them for so little.)

A few didn’t respond, a few said their tickets were already gone, and one liar claimed that if he didn’t get his asking price, he’d just eat the tickets. That left one guy, who said that we could name our price. Why? Because he was thousands of miles away, and had physical tickets in hand.

We improvised. We suggested he call the venue’s ticket office, explain that he couldn’t go to the show and wanted to transfer ownership to someone local, and plead his case.

And damned if the venue didn’t say yes. Even better, the poor guy had bought 4 tickets – twice as many as we needed. They emailed him a PDF of all 4, he forwarded it to us, and said “enjoy the show”. Your mileage may vary – of course, you can’t assume that you’ll find that one person in a thousand who’s willing to give away $616 worth of tickets that he’d already written off.

Did we sell the remaining pair (for something around 10% below cost) and pocket it, essentially getting paid $277 to go to a concert?

Did we sell the remaining pair and give the proceeds to the original owner?

Yes, maybe, no, that’s not the point. The point is that we never would have been in such a position had we repeatedly hit “Refresh” on TicketMaster.com on the day sales opened, until we could finally purchase a pair. Again, let other people be the profit centers – not you.

Another Way to Screw The Man And Feel Great Doing It

The Band Perry will be eligible for the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame in 2034. Click on LiveNation.com right now for tickets to their induction ceremony.

We’ve almost reached the point when there are people who didn’t know any other way, but a long time ago, there existed a music recording industry. A pretty lucrative industry, too. Famous musicians and aspiring ones would rent a studio, hire a producer, record singles and albums, and the major corporation that fronted the musicians the money to do so would then sell the finished products for a profit.

But that which can be digitized can be copied, infinitely. And in a world in which movies and books can be streamed into your home, the idea of driving to a record store and looking through the racks seems both antiquated and ludicrous. It became irrational for music fans to drop $12 for an album that a little ingenuity could put in their hands for nothing. The industry isn’t technically dead yet, but we’ve got the mortuary on speed dial. The number of recording artists has proliferated, while the number of profitable ones has winnowed down to just a few dozen.

Forced to improvise, the industry decided to pound its remaining profit centers. You can’t digitize and copy the attending of a performance, therefore if any money is to be made in the industry, it’s in concerts. (Yes, and merchandise, but that’s a topic for another post.)

So how to maximize concert profits? It sounds tempting, but the promoters and ticket companies couldn’t just raise prices arbitrarily. The laws of supply and demand still exist, and were tickets to cost too much, people will just find something else to do.

However, there is a creative way to get a little more blood out of each ticket buyer. Announce shows well in advance. Embedded in ticket buyers’ DNA remains the belief that every concert runs the risk of selling out. Therefore, buy your tickets as early as possible. Thus letting LiveNation enjoy your money all the longer. This has become commonplace. Depending on the size of the act, it’s normal to see tickets being sold 6, even 8 months early. Rush are playing Las Vegas this November. Tickets went on sale in March. For a naïve fan, that means an even longer window in which to risk seeing the show sell out. Got to buy those tickets now, and the earlier “now” is the better.

Understand that concerts, at least beyond the walk-up level, were never about you exchanging your money for a couple hours of entertainment. They were about you exchanging your money plus a few weeks’ worth of investment potential for said entertainment. Of course there wasn’t a whole lot you were going to do with that $35 besides spend it on a Def Leppard ticket anyway, so from your perspective, the investment potential was negligible.

But today, you’re exchanging your money plus months’ worth of investment potential. A minor difference as far as the individual ticket buyer is concerned, but an enormous one from the standpoint of the company that sells the tickets myriads at a time. You still get the concert, but they get your money and enough interest to make it worth Live Nation’s while to inconvenience you by forcing you to buy the tickets earlier than you otherwise would.

You could argue that this is blatant, but it’s mild compared to some of the other gouging tactics the ticket-selling oligopoly has used and continues to use. “Service fees”? “Handling charges” for a set of electrons that you can print at home? And they keep the charges if the show gets cancelled? It’s laughable, but that doesn’t mean you have to be a victim of forced forgone interest.

Because you know what other, tangential part of the music industry has been forever transformed by technology? The resale market. There’s no such thing as a sold-out house (Harvey Mackay, c. 1990). The longer you wait to buy tickets, the more resellers there are, competing for your business.

Case in point, in August the Control Your Cash principals are going to see Iron Maiden. Who aren’t coming within 450 miles of Control Your Cash World Headquarters, which means a road trip. The (seemingly overpriced) tickets went on sale early in the spring, and on the day sales opened, no one at CYC HQ bought. Why? Because prices will lower. The venue holds about 20,000 people. In the few days before the show, someone, somewhere, won’t be able to attend. Several people, in fact. And almost all of them will be unsophisticated market players who didn’t read our 2-part series on how to scalp and do business with scalpers.

A generation ago, not being able to go to a concert you’d bought tickets for meant calling your friends and hoping one of them could take the tickets off your hands. Eating the tickets, treating them as a sunk cost, was often the default position. You weren’t going to call the local newspaper and spend money on a classified ad to sell the tickets, especially with a 3-day turnaround time. (God, it’s unfathomable that we used to live in a world like that.)

But today? We’re not even talking about regimented for-profit services like StubHub and its parent, eBay. Put those ducats on Craig’s List and you’ll probably get multiple offers. And the same goes for a buyer: more likely than not, you’ll have your pick of seat locations and prices. It’s Adam Smith’s wildest fantasies come true, albeit 2 centuries too late for him to enjoy them.

Best of all, it’s a way to stick it to the man. Don’t worry about the ticket companies, operating in cahoots with every venue in the nation. They’ll still make their money. Let them make it off the other idiots, not you. Repeat after us:

I will not buy tickets the moment they’re released to the public (see Facebook, IPO of).

I understand that ticket sellers at the origin no longer have a monopoly. Tickets.com has no more power over me than does user 5htdlpsp67ckls on Craig’s List. Welcome to 2012, it’s a great place to be.

I am in control. And I’ll keep my money in my wallet until as close to the show date as possible.

Caveat vendor, indeed.